By Moheb Ghali (auth.), Moheb Ghali (eds.)
The objective of this examine is to research the choice progress paths open to a area lower than quite a few rules designed to manage the expansion oftour ism. this is often influenced by way of the present curiosity of decision-makers in con trolling the expansion of tourism. Such curiosity and any regulations which emanate from it could end up harmful except a radical figuring out of the results of those rules are the root upon which the selections are made. The examine contains 4 components, each one is written via an writer or a bunch of authors. hence, whereas the logical series of the components and the feedbacks between them unify the examine, the method followed in every one is diversified, reflecting the variety and dexterity of forecasting options in econo mics. This number of ideas is fascinating in itself because it exposes the reader to a few of the choice methods. In bankruptcy 1, the idea of local progress, and specifically the dis tinction among the supply-based and the demand-based types, is dis stubborn. The position performed by way of normal source constraints is proven to be absent from either kinds of versions, and it really is argued that this function should be investigated via contemplating the choice development paths to be had to the quarter via adaptations within the expense oftuilization of the source. To ac complish that, notwithstanding, a version of neighborhood development is required. The empiri cal facts supplied favour a demand-type version. A version of this kind is constructed and used in succeeding components of the study.
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Extra resources for Tourism and regional growth: An empirical study of the alternative growth paths for Hawaii
S. mainland counterparts, Florida (12 to 14 months) and Louisiana (11 to 12 months) (Sullivan 26 THE FUTURE OF HAWAII'S MAJOR EXPORTS 1975:136). In 1974,95,820 acres of a total of 224,227 acres were harvested in Hawaii6 yielding 1,042,742 tons of raw sugar (96%) and 293,380 tons of molasses; the latter is a by-product of raw sugar production used primarily as livestock feed. All of the sugar and molasses produced in Hawaii is marketed and is largely refined by the California and Hawaiian Sugar Company (C and H), an agricultural marketing association whose stock is wholly owned by the sixteen-member sugar-producing companies in Hawaii.
Thus the average length of stay for east-bound visitors has shown virtually no change since 1960 and is expected to remain at about four days. Westbound travelers have shortened their visits at the rate of about two percent 44 THE FUTURE OF HAWAII'S MAJOR EXPORTS annually over the same period, but we expect this rate to decline to one percent for the 1974-1985 interval. 3. Visitor expenditures Data on visitor daily expenditures are extremely sparse. On east-bound visitors, only one estimate, based on a survey by Hawaii Visitors Bureau of Japanese visitors, is available for 1974.
In this case, higher air fares might cause some people to cancel or put off plans to visit Hawaii but would have no effect on the length of stay of those who do come (Oi 1971). The problem of multi-collineari1y affects this relationship just as with equation (1). Again, we use the equation only for predictive purposes. , et al. S. Sugar Industry, Staff Report Federal Trade Commission, Washington, 1975. Bank of Hawaii. Hawaii '75: Annual Economic Review, Honolulu 1975. S. Visitors to Hawaii, 19611970,' Quarterly Review of Economics and Business, Winter 1973, pp.