By Ernst Gabriel Frankel (auth.)
After prime the realm in the course of many of the twentieth century in monetary, political, technological, army, or even social phrases, America’s function is now being challenged. Its values puzzled, and its equipment frequently disparaged, the USA had develop into the transparent instance to be or perhaps copied, but its newer strategic and political judgements received little foreign aid and many outright competition. the standard of its nationwide making plans and selection making has been seriously compromised, and threat administration seems to be principally absent. India and China at the moment are rising as new monetary powers, with advancing technological prowess. Their concentration is on socioeconomic improvement, yet their features and potentials are a lot broader and should problem America's management earlier than lengthy, except it acknowledges the altering calls for of the recent extensive open globalized global.
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In particular, needs for technological change could be derived by cross-impact analysis, a method based on input/output analysis in which opportunities and threats from changes in technology, competition, political developments, and more are included in determining future developments. But this is seldom done as it is of only strategic value and in general our planning concentrates on near term horizons both at the federal level and in companies or businesses. S. which started with the recession in March 1991 and continued unabated until the 2001 recession is only now in 2005 reviving its growth.
In other words, economic growth is no longer simply dependent 22 CHAPTER 1 on the traditional factors nor is it simply a function of effective use of economic factors. To an ever-larger degree it depends on the effective use of a combination of larger factors such as technology, information management, and human enterprise. S. research and development is performed by government or is government supported. This research has an abysmal record in terms of technology transfer and commercialization which is slow, inefficient or simply does not take place.
Industry pays lower energy prices than do its major foreign competitors, except in the case of natural gas and electricity in Canada (see Table 8). S. industrial energy prices above those of most other highly industrialized countries and would maintain them at a fraction of the prices of our major industrial competitors. 40 in terms of the “Gini” ratio, an accepted method for the analysis of income inequality. This unacceptably high growth is more than three times that of Japan. 22 38 CHAPTER 1 Table 9.